Random no more: Evolution isn't down to chance alone



Arginine dream: how do amino acids turn into superstar proteins? (Image: David Parker/SPL)


Where do evolution's adaptations come from? Arrival of the fittest by Andreas Wagner has some surprising answers


EVOLUTION, we have always been told, results from natural selection sifting through countless random variations over millions of years.


That's not good enough, says Andreas Wagner, a systems biologist at the University of Zurich in Switzerland. Natural selection can explain which adaptations survive over time, he argues, but it falls far short of explaining where those adaptations originate.


For over a decade, Wagner has been looking for an answer that would satisfy him, and Arrival of the Fittest presents his research to a general audience for the first time. In it, he makes a persuasive case that the origin of adaptations – the arrival of the fittest, rather than the survival of the fittest – can't be down to pure chance alone.



Imagine a vast library, one so big that it contains every possible sequence of letters. Most of the books are gibberish, filled with words like "erwtvaiwq" or "avbqse", but you can also find Hamlet and On the Origin of Species. This is the book's core metaphor, used, for example, to describe how most strings of amino acids make non-functional proteins – Wagner's gibberish – but some make working enzymes and a few make brilliant ones.


The problem is that the library is so vast (there are more than 10130 different proteins made from just 100 amino acids) that the odds of evolution stumbling across the specific "book" it needs – an enzyme that can disarm a synthetic toxin, for example – are practically zero. Something else must guide evolution through the library.


Part of the secret, Wagner tells us, is that many different proteins can perform the same function, just as many different books can tell the same story in different words. That is, instead of looking for a single meaningful book in the entire library, evolution is looking for any one of many functionally equivalent ones.


That's not all: the structure of the library makes it easy for evolution to move from one meaningful book to another. When Wagner and his colleagues tried browsing adjacent "books" – proteins that differ by a single amino acid – they found that most worked just as well as the original. The same was true when they changed another amino acid, and another. In fact, you could move, step by step, from one end of the library to the other without changing the meaning.


This allows populations to accumulate a lot of genetic variation while still remaining viable. In Wagner's metaphor, readers spread into many different rooms of the library. And that's where the big pay-off comes. By wandering far afield, you come to rooms with very different sorts of books nearby. In real terms, you end up in places where changing just a few more amino acids gives you a protein with a radically different function – an evolutionary breakthrough, close at hand.


And the more hidden variation the population accumulates, the more likely that this will happen. As Wagner puts it, "while you walk along one of these trails, the innovation you are searching for will appear at some point in a small neighborhood near you". That's a big claim, and a far cry from pure, random chance.


In other chapters, Wagner shows that the same principle holds for networks of metabolic and regulatory genes. Indeed, these linked pathways through diverse libraries may turn up in any sufficiently complex system, he says. In what may be the least convincing part of the book, he even speculates that we may be able to apply these principles to algorithms, letting artificial intelligence innovate faster than human inventors ever could.


Whatever the likelihood of that, Wagner's book is an eye-opener. As a bonus, his writing is clear and elegant, with vivid analogies and concrete examples to illustrate his key points. You'll never think about evolution in the same way again.


This article appeared in print under the headline "Random no more"


Bob Holmes is a consultant for New Scientist


Issue 2997 of New Scientist magazine


  • New Scientist

  • Not just a website!

  • Subscribe to New Scientist and get:

  • New Scientist magazine delivered every week

  • Unlimited online access to articles from over 500 back issues

  • Subscribe Now and Save




If you would like to reuse any content from New Scientist, either in print or online, please contact the syndication department first for permission. New Scientist does not own rights to photos, but there are a variety of licensing options available for use of articles and graphics we own the copyright to.